
This is called inside-the-Beltway poker. But it's more fun than regular poker.
If McCain wins this year, what will Sarah Palin do in 2012? McCain probably won't run for President again at 76.
a) run for President. She'll have four years of vice-presidential experience under her belt. McCain *should* give her a foreign policy portfolio to train her up and ensure that she can run credibly then.
b) run for governor of Alaska again. More executive experience. Might shore up her family-values image.
c) Run for Senator from Alaska. This is arguably her best bet. She could probably have her choice of committees to sit on, The big-name ones are Judiciary, Foreign Relations, Armed Services, Energy and Natural Resources (not so big-name in the past, but a good match for her state and previous experience). Other interesting ones are Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs; Health, Education, Labor and Pensions (a grab-bag, but good for a family-values image, maybe) or Appropriations (more appropriate if she wants a name cutting pork). Ones that I don't think would be useful for her--Agriculture, Nutrition and Forestry; Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs; Budget; Commerce, Science and Transportation; Environment and Public Works; Finance; Indian Affairs; Rules and Administration; Small Business and Entrepreneurship or Veteran's Affairs.
To figure what she could do, we'd have to figure out who'll be the governor (Sean Parnell is the Lieutenant Governor, BUT he is currently in a race for Representative), and who'll be the two Senators. Can she displace one of them? Remember that Ted Stevens is up for re-election this year and may be fatally tainted, or he may not be, who knows what lurks in the minds of voters. Lisa Murkowski (R) is the junior Senator. She will be facing re-election in 2010.
If McCain loses this year, she'll spend the rest of her term as governor. How long is the term for governor of Alaska (different states have slightly different rules)? I can't find this information in Wikipedia. Should she run again? Should she see if she can run for Senator from Alaska?
Who should she pick for a running mate when she runs for President at the head of the ticket?